As this maturation progresses, it will be altogether too easy to get caught up in the details of intriguing technologies. Though quantum dynamics is fraught with mind-bending challenges, quantum technologies are advancing. Researchers are working to make them cheaper, lighter, more portable, and more energy-efficient. Quantum sensors are available, but at present are somewhat limited. Indeed, there are promising use cases in the energy, transportation, and health care sectors, among others. Within the next decade, it is likely that quantum sensors could replace conventional sensors in some applications. Thanks to the sensitivity of subatomic particles, quantum sensing devices are more responsive and accurate than conventional sensors. Even though QKD technology is not fully mature, several quantum communication networks have either been deployed or are in development. Among several techniques for achieving this level of secure communication is quantum key distribution (QKD), in which parties exchange highly secure encryption keys to transmit data across optical networks. Quantum communication is a hardware-based solution that uses principles of quantum mechanics to create theoretically tamper-proof communication networks that can detect interception and eavesdropping. 4 To give you a glimpse of quantum computing’s potential, in recent demonstrations, quantum machines completed specialized tasks in five minutes that researchers say would have taken classical supercomputers thousands of years to complete. Rather, they will coexist with their legacy counterparts, and provide advanced computing power as needed for complex computational workloads. With this in mind, quantum computers probably will not replace classical computers. They leverage quantum phenomena to process information and make highly specialized calculations. 3Ĭomputing. Quantum computers are special-purpose tools for solving advanced computational problems.
2 Technology giants, governments, and early-stage startups are investing billions in a race to achieve quantum breakthroughs. Indeed, quantum research is gaining momentum and is expected to migrate from labs to real-world commercial environments within this decade. Yet there is a widely held belief that we will figure all of this out, and that quantum will loom large in our collective future. Definitive timelines and research breakthroughs remain works in progress.
In a way, this debate over theoretical particles encapsulates the state of quantum computing today: Everything is incredibly interesting and promising, but we are still in the early days of quantum exploration. Doubters counter that nobody has been able to find evidence that these particles even exist and, until they do, Majorana’s quantum possibilities remain just that: possibilities. One side believes that Majorana fermion particles-which theoretically contain their own antiparticles-could make remarkably stable quantum qubits. Admittedly, most people don’t have a dog in this fight, but those who do seem ready to rumble. Quantum computing, while maturing rapidly, remains the focus of several esoteric debates. We follow our discussion of these possibilities with an essay by Deloitte Consulting LLP’s chief futurist Mike Bechtel, in which he looks to the past to find a glimpse of tomorrow. Quantum technologies, which are poised to transform computing, sensing, and communications within the next decadeĮxponential intelligence, the next generation of AI technologies that promises to understand human emotion and intentĪmbient computing, which will make technology ubiquitous in our work and home environments We focus on three such possibilities that we feel are notable: But in this final chapter of Tech Trends 2022, we do offer a framework for thinking strategically about technology possibilities that currently appear small on the horizon. What exactly will happen? We don’t know yet-and neither does anyone else. The question many leaders, strategists, and technologists rightly ask is, “What can we do right now to prepare for an event whose nature and timing is uncertain?” We offer this humble response: If you wager that something exciting will happen with a number of emerging technologies during the next decade, you will probably win that bet. The notion that rapid advances in AI will give rise to exciting new business models in five years is cold comfort to a chief financial officer sweating the next quarterly statement. The challenge with this narrative is that it almost always paints optimistic outcomes with a broad brush.
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